Unofficial odds planner

AOTR Family Odds Calculator

Enter your spins, then compare a family or rarity in normal and 2x mode. Prestige and the Epic+ pity checkpoint stay separate so the result does not imply a guarantee that the game does not provide.

Update 3 rarity-rate baseline2026-08-04

Mythical base: 0.025%
Legendary base: 0.06%
Epic+ pity: 400 spins

Current inputs stay in this page link.

Spins to test

Prestige levelModel cap: Prestige 5

Rate mode

Target type

Specific family

Independent-spin estimate, excluding pity. These results and confidence targets assume a constant rate on every spin. Changing pity progress only changes the separate checkpoint panel.

At least one Fritz11.75%

No Fritz88.25%

Per-spin assumed rate0.0125%

Expected spins8,000

Named-family rates assume the Mythical pool is divided evenly across 2 listed families because public per-family weights are unavailable.

Confidence thresholds

50%5,545spins

75%11,090spins

90%18,420spins

95%23,965spins

Spin Budget Planner

Current spinsTarget confidenceEpic+ pity progress

Spins still needed17,420

Target total: 18,420 available spins for 90% confidence under the independent-spin model, excluding pity. Current spins means unspent spins; past misses do not count toward this budget.

The recorded family review is dated 2026-08-04. Numeric spin rates use the historical Update 3 rarity baseline, not a verified current rate table. Prestige is included when entered. Select 2x only if the event you are playing matches this model; this selector does not report whether an event is active.

Epic+ pity checkpoint

Spins to checkpoint: 400
Natural Epic+ before it: 82.44%
Legendary at checkpoint: 5.00%
One Legendary family: 1.67%

The checkpoint rates are conditional on reaching pity without an earlier Epic+ reset. A natural Epic+ resets the counter, so “spins to checkpoint” is not a guaranteed countdown. This panel does not calculate the combined chance of a Legendary across the whole session, and Epic+ does not guarantee Legendary.

How the pity assumptions work

Family / perk reference

Compact Family Rates and Perks

Filter

Common79.965%

No special family stats listed.

Rare19.600%

Minor stat bonuses; exact per-family outcomes are treated as equal within rarity.

Epic0.350%

Shifter-focused or ODM utility bonuses; estimated equal split within rarity.

Legendary0.0600%

High-value family pool. Weekend/event 2x doubles the base pool; Prestige adds a small separate bonus.

Mythical0.0250%

Rarest rolled family pool. Weekend/event 2x doubles the Mythical pool rate.

Family	Rarity	Assumed rate	Perks / stats	Source
Reeves	Common	7.996%	No listed stat bonus.None	Public reference
Blouse	Common	7.996%	No listed stat bonus.None	Public reference
Inocenio	Common	7.996%	No listed stat bonus.None	Public reference
Munsell	Common	7.996%	No listed stat bonus.None	Public reference
Boyega	Common	7.996%	No listed stat bonus.None	Public reference
Ral	Common	7.996%	No listed stat bonus.None	Public reference
Bozado	Common	7.996%	No listed stat bonus.None	Public reference
Pikale	Common	7.996%	No listed stat bonus.None	Public reference
Hume	Common	7.996%	No listed stat bonus.None	Public reference
Iglehaut	Common	7.996%	No listed stat bonus.None	Public reference
Smith	Rare	2.800%	+2.5% XP and Gold for party members; -5% damage.Party farming utility	Public reference
Springer	Rare	2.800%	+5% health, +5% crit damage, -5% crit chance.General stat tradeoff	Public reference
Kirstein	Rare	2.800%	+10% horse stats, -5% ODM speed.Mobility tradeoff	Public reference
Grice	Rare	2.800%	+5% Jaw Titan stats, -5% ODM gas.Jaw Titan lean	Public reference
Azumabito	Rare	2.800%	+5% damage, +5% ODM control, -5% Titan stats.ODM damage lean	Public reference
Braus	Rare	2.800%	+5% max health.Potato	Public reference
Kruger	Rare	2.800%	+5% Attack Titan stats, -5% crit chance.Attack Titan lean	Public reference
Zoe	Epic	0.0438%	Cannot shift; +15% ODM damage, +10% ODM control, +10% ODM speed, +5% gold boost.Last Stand	Public reference
Tybur	Epic	0.0438%	+10% cooldown reduction, +10% Warhammer Titan stats, +10% gold gain.Shifter Regen	Public reference
Leonhart	Epic	0.0438%	+10% Titan run speed, +10% Female Titan stats, +7.5% ODM damage.Shifter Regen, Crimson Bloom	Public reference
Galliard	Epic	0.0438%	+10% shifter M1 speed, +10% Jaw Titan stats, +10% crit damage.Shifter Regen	Public reference
Finger	Epic	0.0438%	-10% awakening bar drain, +10% Cart Titan stats, +10% ODM gas.Shifter Regen	Public reference
Braun	Epic	0.0438%	+10% damage reduction, +10% Armored Titan stats, +10% health.Shifter Regen	Public reference
Arlert	Epic	0.0438%	+20% Colossal Titan nuke AoE, +10% Colossal Titan stats, +10% crit chance.Shifter Regen	Public reference
Ksaver	Epic	0.0438%	+7.5% ODM damage, +10% Beast Titan stats, +10% ODM range.Shifter Regen	Public reference
Ackerman	Legendary	0.0200%	Cannot shift; +20% damage, +15% crit chance/damage, +20% raid damage, +10% ODM/TS gas/range/control, +10% blade durability, +1 boost dash.+1 Offensive perk slot; Rage Mode, Let it RIP, Swift Strikes	Public reference
Yeager	Legendary	0.0200%	+10% skill cooldown reduction, +20% Attack Titan stats, +15% crit chance.+1 Defense perk slot; Resolve, Invigorate, Berserk, Shifter Regen	Public reference
Reiss	Legendary	0.0200%	+10% Titan stats, +10% XP, +10% Gold, +5% party XP, +5% party Gold.+1 Support perk slot; Conquer, Command, Arise	Public reference
Fritz	Mythical	0.0125%	+20% shifter stats, +15% crit chance/damage, +10% raid damage, +10% ODM/TS damage, +10% gem gain, +10% cooldown reduction, +10% awakening gain, +10% party gold/XP.+1 Defense and Support perk slots; Founder's Vengeance, Founder's Will, Chaos	Public reference
Helos	Mythical	0.0125%	Cannot shift; +30% ODM/TS damage, +20% raid damage, +20% crit chance/damage, +15% ODM/TS control/gas/range/speed, +15% blade durability, +7.5% blade conservation chance, +10% cooldown reduction, +1 boost dash.+1 Offense and Support slots; Avenging Execution, Undying Hero, Order: Revolution, Kingslayer	Public reference
Shiki	Secret	Achievement only	+20% raid damage, +20% damage, +15% crit chance/damage, +10% ODM/TS gas/range/control/blade durability, +2 boost dash, +10% shifter stats, +7.5% luck, +15% gem/gold.+1 Body perk slot; Rage Mode, Let it RIP, Swift Strikes, Strongest Soldier; Apex achievement unlock	Achievement only

Data checks

Check the assumptions

AOTR Family Odds Planner is unofficial and not affiliated with Attack on Titan Revolution, Roblox, or any rightsholder. Rates and perks are checked against public community references and can change after game updates.

Checked: 2026-08-04
Formula: 1 - (1 - rate) ^ spins
Prestige bonus: 0.0050% per Prestige level for Legendary families
Pity checkpoint: 400 spins without an Epic, Legendary, or Mythical family

Worked examples

What do AOTR spin odds mean?

These examples use the Update 3 reference rates, normal mode and Prestige 0. They are mathematical examples, not claims about the latest game rates. Main chances exclude pity and assume equal weights within each family pool.

1,000 spins for Fritz

The assumed per-spin rate is 0.0125%: half of the 0.025% Mythical pool. In 1,000 independent spins, the chance of at least one Fritz is 11.75%. More spins increase the chance without guaranteeing a hit.

Try the Fritz example

Any Legendary vs one Ackerman

In the same 1,000 spins, any Legendary is 45.13%. One Ackerman is 18.13%, because its assumed rate is one third of the Legendary pool.

Compare named Legendary families

399 pity progress is one conditional roll away

At progress 399, this model places the next roll at the Epic+ checkpoint. Its assumed Legendary chance is 5.00%; one named Legendary is 1.67%. These are checkpoint-only chances. They are not a guarantee, and they are not added to the headline estimate.

Inspect the pity example